PinnacleDigest


What Actually Causes Inflation | Steve Hanke
Oil shocks grab headlines, but Steve Hanke says they do not cause inflation. Hanke explains why money supply growth matters far more, why the 1970s are widely misunderstood, and why he believes the United States is likely heading toward more inflation, not less.

Small Caps Have Rarely Looked This Cheap Relative To Large Caps
Small-cap stocks have now trailed large caps for five straight years, matching one of the longest stretches of underperformance in recent market history.

The Panic Premium | M&A Activity About to Surge
The last gold bull market didn’t climax with price alone; it ended in billion-dollar buyouts and 30 to 60 percent premiums. From 2001 to 2011, gold surged from under $300 to over $1,500 before major players truly began scrambling for ounces. Today, with gold pressing historic highs again, investors are asking a familiar question: when does the panic premium return?

How to Think Like a Venture Capitalist in Small-Cap Markets
Small-cap markets reward investors who understand the difference between progress and proof. Aaron Hoddinott examines how venture capital thinking applies to sub-billion dollar companies across sectors like AI and mining, where announcements are often mistaken for outcomes.

Mexico’s Silver War: Cartels, Politics, and the Rising Risk to Global Supply
For centuries, silver has shaped Mexico’s fortunes and fueled conflict across its mining regions. As cartel violence intensifies in key production states, investors are being reminded that extracting precious metals in Mexico has never been purely about geology. The country’s long and dangerous history with silver may once again collide with global supply.
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The Japanese Bond Time Bomb: How a JGB Shock Could Hit North American Stocks
Japan, the original architect of zero rates and QE, is suddenly being forced to live in a world of real interest costs, and its ¥1,300+ trillion debt pile is creaking as the 10-year JGB approaches 2%. This post explores how a spike in Japanese bond yields could morph from a “local” issue into a global shock, triggering carry-trade unwinds, repatriation flows, and a painful repricing of North American equities.

Budget 2025: Canada Bets Big on Mining, Productivity, and National Strength
Budget 2025 marks Canada’s boldest resource strategy in decades. With billions in new funding for critical minerals, infrastructure, and productivity, Ottawa is betting on mining and industrial investment to drive long-term growth. Expanded tax credits, a sovereign fund for critical minerals, and the removal of key regulatory barriers signal a decisive pivot toward real assets, national competitiveness, and economic resilience.

The Longest Shutdown Meets All Time Highs: What History Says, What Is Different Now
Global markets have surged to record highs even as Washington endures the longest shutdown in U.S. history. Past standoffs caused little market damage, but this one comes amid record debt and trillion-dollar deficits. Gold is suggesting investors are quietly hedging against the illusion of stability.

The Same Fire, a Different Fuel: Gold 1979–1980 vs. Gold 2024–2025
Gold’s explosive rise in 1979–1980 was fueled by panic and inflation. Today’s surge is different - driven by record central-bank buying, massive debt, and the global shift away from the dollar. As the Fed faces limits that Volcker never did, this bull market may just be getting started.

The Signal Before the Fall: When Momentum Breaks First and Why Silver May Enter a New Reality
Market technician Michael Oliver says U.S. equity momentum has already broken — setting the stage for a historic rotation into gold, silver, and the commodity complex. His data-driven warning: when the silver-gold spread breaks out, investors will witness a rapid repricing unlike anything since the 1980 bull market.

When the Tide Turns: Japan’s Reversal, the Debt Spiral, and What it Means for Gold
Japan may be on the verge of reversing the last few years of monetary discipline. With Prime Minister-elect Sanae Takaichi preparing to end tightening, restart QE, and expand fiscal spending, the world’s most indebted nation could reignite its debt spiral - sending ripples through bond markets, currencies, and gold.

The Strong Dollar, Strong Gold Paradox: When Momentum Breaks the Rules
This article breaks down the unprecedented divergence between gold’s record momentum and a strong U.S. dollar, revealing how market psychology, debt, and central-bank behavior are rewriting the rules of global finance.

Chasing the Unprintable: Why Cardboard Beats Currencies
This article explores the rise of sports card collecting - from multimillion-dollar Mantles and Wagners to the steady climb of 1990s Jordan commemoratives - set against the backdrop of a declining U.S. dollar. While fiat currencies are endlessly reproduced, scarce assets from cards to classic cars and gold prove their power to preserve wealth. In a world of infinite printing, only the finite survives.

The Death of the 60/40? Why Wall Street Is Quietly Turning to Gold
The 60/40 portfolio thrived for 40 years, but its assumptions — low inflation, falling rates, reliable bond hedges — are gone. Morgan Stanley’s new 60/20/20 framework signals a seismic shift: stocks for growth, short Treasuries for stability, and gold as the hedge of last resort. Investors must now ask if this marks the end of an era, and the beginning of a golden one.

America’s Digital Dollar - Without the Fed: How Stablecoins Won Round One
How regulated stablecoins became America’s digital-dollar strategy - what changed in law, how reserves create a new bid for T-bills, and why 24/7 rails matter for markets. We map the upside and the risks (runs, issuer concentration) and the tells to watch next: federal charters, monthly reserve reports, and interop across chains.

Why Bitcoin’s Biggest Risk Comes from Its Investors
Bitcoin’s biggest threat isn’t regulation or energy debates, it’s investor behavior. Investor fear, greed, and discipline will determine if Bitcoin evolves from speculation to a recognized global asset class.

Whispers in the Vault: Why Gold Stocks Remain the Market’s Forgotten Giants
Global gold demand hit US $132 billion in Q2 2025, while mine supply barely grew and production costs soared. Despite this imbalance, gold equities remain under-owned and undervalued - an echo of past cycles where miners eventually outpaced bullion. Whispers in the Vault explores why scarcity may become miners’ greatest hidden asset.
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